|
JOBS | DATING | PROPERTY | SHOPPING |
|
|
THE SMART NEWS SOURCE | Feb 10 2010 04:48 | LAST UPDATED Feb 10 2010 04:48 |
|
A signature, some handshakes and four days of talks have raised hopes for an end to Zimbabwe's political crisis, but it is uncertain that President Robert Mugabe's regime will cede power in the end. With a shattered economy, and regional and international pressure piling up, Zimbabwe's arch rivals -- president Mugabe and opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Morgan Tsvangirai -- on Monday committed themselves to settlement through dialogue. "Seeing those two shake hands for the first time in 10 years, I am optimistic something will come out of those talks. Our prayers are being answered," said Rayman Phiri, a Pentecostal church minister in Harare. The same optimism is shared by Joseph Kurebga, head of political science department at the University of Zimbabwe. "Overall, the mood is very optimistic. People have high hopes for a settlement resolving both the political and economic challenges the country is facing," he said. But the difficulty of talks on a new political order, which began in earnest Thursday in an undisclosed location in South Africa, could soon emerge as they approach a decisive stage, political analysts in the region said. "In reality, as far back as 2002-2003, talks between Zanu-PF and the MDC were going on ... The most fruitful period of talks took place in 2007 which led to no less than about 18 constitutional amendements," said Chris Maroleng of the Institute of Security Studies in Pretoria. "But what had derailed the previous talks was a lack of political will to find an agreement on power-sharing." Advocates of softly-softly diplomacy, as opposed to those who opted for a more hardline stance to exert pressure on Mugabe, are celebrating.  CONTINUES BELOW "This has shown that quiet diplomacy works wonders. It has been effective in persuading both sides to negotiations, notwithstanding the reservations the MDC had about Mbeki," Kurebga said. But more outspoken critics of Mugabe have nevertheless kept tighten the screws on his increasingly isolated government, with the European Union and the United States last week broadening sanctions. Laurence Caromba, an analyst at Pretoria's Centre for International Policy Studies, draws parallels with the global campaign against apartheid in South Africa. "Comprehensive trade sanctions against South Africa took many years before their effect was felt in full, but when the South African government finally sat down to negotiate, it was willing to make sweeping concessions rather than piecemeal reforms," Caromba said. For many, it appears Mugabe has been weakened politically, with his party having lost for the first time in history its parliamentary majority in the March legislative elections. Ready to share? But nothing so far suggests that Mugabe (84) in office since Zimbabwe's independence from Britain in 1980, was ready to share executive power. Tsvangirai maintains he won the first round of elections on March 29, while Mugabe says his re-election in the June 27 run-off -- a one-man affair after the MDC leader withdrew -- was non-negotiable. "There is a real problem because these are entrenched positions. That logjam has to be broken," said Bornwell Chakaodza, media consultant and political commentator in Harare. "The difficulty remains about the modalities on how the government will be formed, that is the crux of the discussions." The most widely touted scenario has Mugabe becoming a titular head of state, with Tsvangirai becoming prime minister with executive powers. But given the stance of powerful security chiefs, who have vowed they will never salute Tsvangirai, it remains doubtful such an arrangement could be feasible. "My only worry is with the military chiefs. That could be a sticking point," Phiti said. - AFP TOPICS IN THIS ARTICLE
Comments
James Edwards on July 27, 2008, 1:42 pm
Mugabe is no different from any of them except that he had bankrupted his own country, perfected his own brand of racism, and robbed and pillaged his own country. He has just filled up his own bank account which some of those named did not do, and he has indulged in terror and genocide of his own people. Lest we all forget, that his is deapest fear, he will be brought to book. As he said God put him in power and only God can take him out. Please God cause your light to shine, justice to reign and bring evil and tyranny to an end!
Andrew Lawrence on July 29, 2008, 9:34 am
click here to log in
M&G Online Comment Guidelines In Brief
Advertising Links
|
2,3-million titles to choose from.
iPod nano 16GB - Black, Was R2,499.00 Now R2,299.00! Save R200!
46 000 DVDs and Blu-Ray on sale now!
100s of new releases now in stock. Get the new Sade & Bon Jovi albums.
Widest toy range and unbeatable prices!
AdvertisementsAdvertising links |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 comments
Make us your home page | Add our headlines to your site | Desktop news with NewsFlash
Contact us | About us | Story tip-offs | Online advertising | Print advertising | Subscriptions | Topics A-Z | Corrections | Mobile sites
All material © Mail & Guardian Online. Material may not be published or reproduced in any form without prior written permission.
Read the site privacy policy and Ispa code of conduct relating to our blog hosting.
RSS feed
This site is proudly hosted by Internet Solutions. We are a member of the Online Publishers Association.
Contact us | About us | Story tip-offs | Online advertising | Print advertising | Subscriptions | Topics A-Z | Corrections | Mobile sites
All material © Mail & Guardian Online. Material may not be published or reproduced in any form without prior written permission.
Read the site privacy policy and Ispa code of conduct relating to our blog hosting.
RSS feed
This site is proudly hosted by Internet Solutions. We are a member of the Online Publishers Association.
 |  |  |
A measure of the ability of the Zimbabweans to govern themselves will be the degree to which they can increase the complexity and the nuance of the stark choices defined at the end of the article. The media, both generators and readers, in Southern Africa must play its part by 'flying kites' in commentary about the ensuing discussions. South Africa must play a significant part now because the media in Zimbabwe has been beaten down. The simplest effective part to play would be to publish the thinking of Zimbabweans and South Africans. The Choice of what is published will define who we are. In this regard, of course blogs are the new media.
Which means it is bloggers to the rescue!
My contribution is an answer to the question, 'What would I want if I were Bob.
Given everything I know about Zimbabwe my answer is simple, and I presume to quote Bob: 'Honour! Honour despite my failings, for whatever I am I am better than George or Tony, or dear old Ian, Jan, Cecil, Hendrik and PW. On this hangs the dignity of Africa!'
And despite his sins I think he would be right if he held that opinion.