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Opinion | Comment & Analysis

Saving Cope -- the breech baby

NIC DAWES: COMMENT - Mar 07 2009 06:00
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After its traumatic birth the new political party needs care desperately

People ask me all the time what I think about the Congress of the People (Cope), usually about five seconds after they ask whether Jacob Zuma really really really has to be our next president. Questions such as this are an occupational hazard for journalists, who are presumed by their proximity to the political maelstrom to better understand its fluid dynamics.

In the interests of upholding that reputation, I've been working on my Cope spiel for months.

It goes like this: Cope is a breech baby, it emerged arse backwards into the world, ripping its mother in two and just about suffocating on its own umbilicus, while a scrum of midwives burned impepho and chanted incantations instead of calling for the scalpel and the epidural. Now a malformed and fragile thing lies squalling in the bloodstained sheets and desperately in need of care, feeding and a bit of disciplined attention.

It is a grotesque analogy, but not that far-fetched. It was a colossal tactical blunder by the ANC to fire Thabo Mbeki nine months before his time was up, just enough time for an infant opposition to gestate. The headlong rush towards revenge in the national executive committee forced Terror Lekota and Mbhazima Shilowa out into the cold much earlier than the gathering momentum of the party's diverging tendencies would otherwise have done and created a nucleus around which others could gather.

So it is not surprising that the first wave of top-level defectors cited their anger at the axing of Mbeki as their basis for joining Cope. It was hardly a positive political programme, but it was a convenient shorthand for all the wounds incurred in the Polokwane blitzkreig, and the grinding war of attrition that followed.

The challenge for the party now is to change the narrative when it is top heavy with leaders too easily dismissed as by their association with Mbeki, and the worst failings of his leadership. It is a difficulty that has only worsened since Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka formalised her membership. No one is more of a poster child for the wasted promise of the Mbeki years -- bright, personable, and deeply implicated in the muck of Oilgate, not to mention the brutal struggle over the prosecution of Zuma.

Away from the personalities, and closer to policies, an electoral manifesto that follows promising affirmations about the Constitution with large swathes uncritically affirming about the importance of BEE, and of failed state programmes such as Umsobomvu youth fund seemed only to confirm that image.

Many in the party are sharply aware of this problem and are trying hard to correct it. They want to limit the role of people like the deeply compromised former minister for safety and security in the Western Cape, Leonard Ramatlakane, to vet sources of funding carefully, and to ensure that the electoral slate has appeal to new voters and an urban middle class who are fed up with the ANC and broadly receptive to a message of modernisation and economic openness.

CONTINUES BELOW


The question is whether they can make themselves heard.

The evidence is contradictory.

On the one hand there is that manifesto, which was hotly debated internally, with party advisers such as Moeletsi Mbeki pushing for a much harder-hitting document, and others, including Shilowa, wanting a more conciliatory, "positive" approach.

There is, too, the debate over who should be the face of the party's election campaign -- apparently resolved in favour of the relatively unknown clean-skin Mvume Dandala, over the popular but potentially compromised Terror Lekota.

Damaging battles, like the one under way already between the dynamic Mbulelo Ncedane and much of the Western Cape leadership is a sign that other ANC habits have not faded with the announcement of an election date.

But there are serious efforts to move the conversation on. One is a bold and potentially risky process for drawing up party lists. Branches made nominations to a committee of party elders headed by Barney Pityana. That committee conducted an initial scrutiny and also made an effort to draw in people from outside the current Cope leadership. Finally, it published the lists, and invited the public to perform scrutiny of its own. "They won't be able to object as such," says national spokesperson Phillip Dexter, "they can do that at the ballot box, but they can tell if there is something we should know about a candidate -- are they clean, do they have a record of community involvement, etcetera".

If Pityana and company are to have a real impact, though, they need to be able to ignore the Mbeki-ite heavies and concentrate on the second- and third-tier leadership of Cope; young, educated, highly capable people who identified with the Mbeki project in the ANC primarily because they believed it was time to move beyond the ossified language of the Moscow party school, as well as the greed and cant that they felt had come to dominate the tripartite alliance. Just a few of those people, given the platform that Parliament offers, could very quickly become the kind of new stars that the party needs.

Like Helen Zille, Cope's leaders also need to be creative about bringing in total outsiders as they seek to change the story.

The choice of Dandala was an effort to do just that, but it was complicated by the disappointing wrangling that followed.

For all those disappointments, for all the dubious business people clustered in the wings and the Polokwane losers on the podium, it matters that Cope finds its way to a sustainable future for one simple reason: it has opened the political imagination of South Africans in an unprecedented way. Suddenly it is possible to conceive of opposition without the stigma of racism, of a political contest defined by all kinds of other factors from personality to policy, but not finally determined by monolithic racial identification. And that, frankly, is a hell of a start.

Mbeki himself might have turned to William Blake to sum it up: "My mother groan'd! my father wept;/ Into the dangerous world I leapt; Helpless, naked, piping loud,/ like a fiend, hid in a cloud. /Struggling in my father's hands, /Striving against my swaddling bands, /Bound and weary I thought best/ to sulk upon my mother's breast."

Hopefully Shilowa, Lekota and their swelling coterie of advisers and supporters know how important it is that they keep the kid alive, instead of suffocating it under their own ambitions.
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If South Africans had any sense of patriotism and forward thinking they would nurture this "breech baby" called Cope into the strong opposition party it deserves to be to keep the ANC honest.

As far as Mbeki goes, Cope should avoid him like the plague! Whatever happened in Polokwane should stay in Polokwane. Cope hooking up with Mbeki is a recipe for failure.

Other opposition parties lack the stripes earned by many of Cope leaders fighting for freedom. Presently, the DA carries too much racist baggage and the IFP is too steeped in tribalism to step into the role of a true opposition party that can stand up to the ANC. Cope is by far a more viable opposition party, even in its infancy, with all its problems, it is still the ONLY hope to maintain a strong multi-party democracy in SA.

The choice of a religious leader muddies the prospects for Cope's progress but its far better than the alternatives out there. South African voters are smarter that we give them credit for. When they look up north to Zimbabwe and the rest of Africa, they shudder at the prospect of descending into a one party state. So in a strange, macabre way, Zimbabwe's downfall benefits Cope.

Even if, like me, you're an admirer of the ANC - the party that brought us liberation, you still have to put South Africa first and VOTE COPE to strengthen our multi-party democracy. I think we will be pleasantly surprised with the support that Cope will garner across the board in this upcoming election.
Dave Harris on March 7, 2009, 5:14 am
Sir, you are wrongly informed about why Mbeki was removed.The ANC succeeded in keeping it's secrets away from journalists like you who are happy at nothing but it's carcass.Mbeki will never tell so are all the cadres at NEC.My hat off for that.Blunders seriuos enough to cause conflict within the ANC and between the Conuntry and others had been observed many a time.You missed all those.E.g.Political blunders Darfur (incl John Garang's role),Zimbabwe,the plan for a demise of the ANC,to keep the ANC as a Xhosa fiefdom (read Billy's report if you can lay your hands on it obviously I doubt you will.This is a reborn ANC!), the involvement of the French in our politics etc.You all missed these issues.That is where Vavi and Blade triumphed.This is Politics my friend.Our MK Cdres died in droves under mysteriuos circumstances under Terror,SANDF Arms 'disappeared' in Rwanda etc, Zuma was targetted in supposedly veiled plot that undermined the struggle when we all knew (you also know but for obvious reasons hate the Party)many were hands in the 'cokkie-jar'.

The Party had to be decisive.We will not apologise for that.

Now Xhosas met outside EL and charted a way forward to try maintain their control of the country.Hence the birth of COPE and the appointment of one of their own to lead COPE.There are many still to come that you have not seen nor heard of.

Blunders in their Strategy: 1.The land issue does not feature much in their Manifesto and you never wondered why.I understand why you did not realise that.2.There are many whites encouraging their employees to vote COPE. Why? BEE !!!!!.COPE in their book we have reached a 'levelling of the playing field economically'.Note that all of the leaders are BEE-made Millionaires.

Self-serving individuals working against all what our stalwards had worked and died for.If Tata Govan Mbeki could rise just for a day to see the mess,he will not be thrilled.

So you are pedling propaganda.NOTE:We know wholiberated us, and we will stand by them exactly like in all 3 Trials of the 1958-1963.
Vuyelwa Qangisa on March 7, 2009, 7:16 am
i agree with you. It is important that the midwives of Cope should be proud of their achievement for the delivery of hope to all south africans. Therefore they should allow every south african to participate and contribute to the nurturing of the baby, so that all competent, hardworking citizens of this beautiful country can be truly servants of the nation unlike the deployees who were and still incompetent, lazy and arrogant.
jabu nkofunkofu on March 7, 2009, 1:05 pm
Your story and analogy is somewhat correct. You may also be correct that COPE missed the opportunity to be an opposition with no past bargage, except that its founders carried a different bargage from that of racism. They are power mongers, and I think that bargage is worse than that of racism. I think the DA is benefiting from the COPE blunders. For the first time in its history, the DA can be compared to a viable party of the size, and it is winning the comparison. I predict, as a result, that the DA will do better than COPE in the next elections.

The hype out there is not only about COPE. There are ANC supporters and sympathisers who were inspired by Polokwane. They were even more inspired to be active in the ANC by the birth of COPE. I therefore predict that the ANC will do better than in the previous elections.



Mziwonke Mqhayi on March 7, 2009, 8:07 pm
Birth of COPE should have been one of those proud moments for S/Africans in strenghtening our democracy. Unfortunately it was not to be, reason being, wrong people formed COPE. The very reason why these individuals cannot be the face of COPE should have prevented them from being its face when it was first formed, and instead they should have at least facilitated that people like Dandala form COPE with their support on the background. There are two reasons in my mind that propelled them to form COPE in spite of their baggage. Their plan to defect from the ANC had been on the cards since their defeat in Polokwane but they never expected the ANC to recall Mbeki. They were somehow caught with their pants down, hence the haste with which they formed COPE without proper planning and consultation, and this explains their failure to attract the known Mbeki-tes still within the ANC. The second reason is that they may well have been driven by personal interests to secure themselves political jobs after it became clear to them that with the new ANC leadership their political ambitions had reached some dead end. My view is that it will not be long that we will begin to see a split of COPE, especially after the elections because the reasons for its formation may not have been noble, at least for all the three men (Lekota, George, and Shilowa). My own assessment is that what motivated the first two gentlemen to form COPE was much more of personal interests than Shilowa was made to believe. The moment you have camps in any organization it is a sign for disaster, and the more you deny these the more these become pronounced and more dangerous.
Thami Mathe on March 9, 2009, 8:22 am
Your article Nic makes a good reading and your analogy somewhat address some of the issues. In a way, I also think you missed the plot though. The reasons for Terror Lekota, Sam Shilowa, Smuts Ngonyama, Mluleki George, Saki Macozoma, etc to start Cope had nothing to do with Mbeki being recalled or them wanting to uplift the poor. These individuals lost power democratically in Polokwane and could not accept that because they believe that they are the only custodians of our democracy, how sad. By their own admission they want political power which guarantees them access to business opportunities which they have been getting under Mbeki.

You hear people like Lekota, Shilowa and co. talking about the ANC being corrupt and having neglected the poor for the last 15 years as if they were not the ones who were in power, who had power to stop corruption and provide basic services to poor communities. The unfortunate thing about journalists in this country is that they are too galible. I think many of them lack basic journalistic skills because at the very least, our journalists should be asking these people to account for what they did in the last 15 years when they were in government and ask them why should people of South Africa trust them when they failed and only lined their own pockets while they were in power.

The current leadership of the ANC who were elected in Polokwane have not been in power there fore cannot be said that they have failed the people of South Africa. From where I am, it is the ANC under the chairmanship of Terror Lekota taht failed this country in many areas such as health, education, Zimbabwe, housing, even ib BEE, which by the way enriched them and they ow want to do away with it.

I do believe that we need an alternative to the ANC but I do not think shikota is that party. These people think South Africans are stupid. They have nothing to offer in terms of policy and leadership. I think the DA is better than Cope and will also do well in the elections becasue they offer something different to the ANC unlike people who lost power in the ANC who now believe we should vote for thenm because they are no longer in the ANC.

In conclusion, the ANC will do better than in the previous elections because many people would rather have the ANC than Shikota.
zanele mkhize on March 9, 2009, 9:09 am
Should COPE be saved! I do not think so. This has to do with the idelogical orientation of the party. The space that COPE want to occupy is already full. The DA, UDM, ID, IFP all are seeking the same votes - people with with a liberal/social democratic orientation. The only stumbling block for all these formation to come together is the egos of their leading lights. Your Ian Davidson, Mike Selfe, Ryan Coetzee in the DA,Patricia De Lille and her coterie of 'leaders' in the DA, the Prince of Zululand in the IFP and the self righteous General in the UDM.
The effect of all this is that the ANC will continue to get the biggest slice of the votes. This, though,does not mean that people are not fed up. It just indicate that there is no viable alternative. A situation that the article correctly chronicles.
Until the parties to the right of the ANC pull their lot together the ANC will rule 'until the second coming....'
Balekane Gaahlobogwe on March 9, 2009, 2:35 pm
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